Dossier · 17–19 · Credit File
— internal credit memorandum · confidential —
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Pitch Black Industries · Internal Credit Team
CREDIT FILE · PBI-CC-2026-0517
Credit Committee Memorandum · Valuation Assessment
26 · V · MMXXVI
Black Garter · Rockdale NSW 2216

17–19 SEVEN WAYS

— credit committee valuation assessment · support for $140k bridge facility —
335.1 m² SITE·758 m² GBA·16 ROOMS·E1 ZONE·TOD
CONFIDENTIAL
— internal credit file · not a valuation under api anzvps · cpv instruction required prior to lender reliance —
Indicative valuation assessment prepared by the Pitch Black Industries Internal Credit Team in support of bridge facility credit submission. Establishes defensible indicative Market Value range to support the $140,000 bridge and inform formal Certified Practising Valuer instruction. Not a Valuation Under API ANZVPS. Formal CPV instruction required prior to any lender reliance.
— I —

Recommendation

The Internal Credit Team recommends adoption of an indicative Market Value range of $5.7M – $6.5M, central point $6.1M, on an as-leased basis under the executed Letter of Intent to the proposed arm's-length tenant, subject to satisfaction of conditions precedent.

This range supports the $140,000 bridge facility on a loan-to-value basis of approximately 2.3% — well within prudent lender tolerances. A formal Certified Practising Valuer instruction is required prior to any lender reliance, with recommended scope as set out in Section VII. The Team notes the asset class is specialised: indicative debt capacity under a tier-1 lender base posture (70% LVR, 1.50× ICR, 6.50% interest-only) is calculated at $4.27M (LVR-binding), with absolute ICR ceiling at $4.68M.

— Indicative Market Value · As-Leased · Post-CP Cure —
$6.1M
— indicative range · $5.7M to $6.5M · adopted cap rate 7.50% —
Conservative · 8.00%
$5.70M
Adopted · 7.50%
$6.08M
Aggressive · 7.00%
$6.51M
Stabilised NOI
$456k
post Lessor deductions
Adopted Cap Rate
7.50%
isolated-private average
$/Working Room
$380k
16 rooms · cross-checks
$/sqm GBA
$8,021
758 m² · within band
— II —

Subject Property

Three-storey Class 6 building on 335.1 m² combined site (Lots 8 & 9, DP 12036) at the Rockdale Town Centre node — approximately 100–170 m from Rockdale Station (T4 East Hills). 758 m² GBA / 586.5 m² NLA. Sixteen enclosed working rooms with en-suite shower/spa facilities; office; VIP suite; introduction lounge; bar/lounge area. Comprehensively upgraded 2018–2020 under DA-2018/7 + CC-2018/198; Occupation Certificate issued 17 December 2020.

Foundational use right anchored in NSW Land & Environment Court Order 30 April 1997 (Appeal 10088/1997) — 27-year established use; runs with the land; not subject to lapse. Zoning E1 Local Centre under Bayside LEP 2021, 34 m height limit, no mandated FSR maximum (Rockdale Town Centre node). Sits within the Rockdale TOD precinct under Housing SEPP 2021 Chapter 5 (effective 1 July 2024) — base FSR 2.5:1 with 30% bonus for ≥10% affordable housing. Material reconvertibility optionality to Class 5 medical use.

Subject to executed Letter of Intent (12 May 2026) from Nikolay Antonov ATF Energia Discretionary Trust: nine-year triple-net (3+3+3), $430k transition Year 1, $480k + CPI Year 2 onward, $215k security (BG + cash deposit hybrid) plus Personal Guarantee. Existing related-party Seven Skies tenancy to be surrendered concurrent with Antonov commencement. Conditions Precedent presently in cure: AFSS rectification ordered (~$14.3k), replacement specialist insurance binding this week, Fire Engineering Report recovery in train.

— III —

Income Capitalisation · Primary Approach

— Stabilised Net Operating Income —
Build-up from LOI Year 2+ face rent
triple-net structure · Lessor-retained deductions only
Stabilised gross face rent (LOI Year 2+): $480,000 pa
Less capital expenditure sinking fund: −$5,000
Less vacancy & bad-debt allowance (3%): −$14,400
Less Lessor management oversight (1%): −$4,800
─────────────────────────
Total Lessor-retained deductions: −$24,200
Stabilised NOI = $455,800 → adopted $456,000

Cap rate adoption is anchored to recent industry research on the specialised hospitality asset class. Isolated-private market average sits near 7.5% net, with the band spanning 6.5%–8.0%. Adopted cap rate reflects single-asset specialised positioning with arm's-length covenant strength and reconvertibility premium balancing single-tenant exposure.

Scenario Cap Rate Indicated Value $/sqm GBA $/sqm NLA $/Working Room
Aggressive7.00% $6,514,000$8,594$11,108$407,125
Upper7.25% $6,290,000$8,298$10,725$393,125
Adopted · Base7.50% $6,080,000$8,021$10,367$380,000
Lower7.75% $5,884,000$7,762$10,032$367,750
Conservative8.00% $5,700,000$7,520$9,719$356,250

Income Capitalisation indicated range: $5.7M – $6.5M; central $6.1M.

— IV —

Triangulation · Reconciliation

Two primary income-based approaches converge tightly at $6.08M central. The Cost Approach sits below as the sanity floor. HBU optionality (Class 5 medical conversion / TOD redevelopment) supports the upper end of the range as an additive premium, not standalone Market Value.

Approach Weight Lower Central Upper Cross-check
Income Capitalisation55% $5.70M$6.08M$6.51M NOI $456k ÷ 7.5% · primary
Direct Sales Comparison25% $5.70M$6.08M$6.50M 16 rooms × $380k = $6.08M exactly
Cost · DRC5% $3.70M$4.10M$4.60M sanity floor only
HBU Optionality Premium15% +$0.30M+$0.50M+$0.80M additive · Class 5 / TOD
Weighted Reconciliation100% $5.32M $6.05M $6.78M rounds to $6.1M central

Per-room cross-check: 16 working rooms × $380,000 adopted central = $6,080,000 — matches Income Capitalisation exactly. Sydney metro medical building-rate band ($10,000–$13,000/sqm GBA) applied to subject 758 m² as if Class 5 conversion: $7.58M – $9.85M unadjusted; less ~30% use-class adjustment → $5.3M – $6.9M on current Class 6 basis. This cross-checks the Income Cap base.

— V —

Indicative Debt Capacity

Indicative debt capacity is constrained by the lower of two binding metrics — Loan-to-Value Ratio cap and Interest Coverage Ratio cap. The Team notes the ICR ceiling at indicative 6.50% interest-only is $4.68M regardless of asset value, calculated as NOI $456,000 ÷ (1.50 × 6.50%). LVR is binding across all realistic lender postures.

Lender Posture LVR ICR Rate LVR Cap ICR Cap Binding
Tier-1 conservative60%1.50×6.50% $3.66M$4.68M$3.66M (LVR)
Tier-1 base · recommended70%1.50×6.50% $4.27M$4.68M$4.27M (LVR)
Tier-1 aggressive (w/ PG + BG)75%1.25×6.50% $4.58M$5.61M$4.58M (LVR)
Tier-2 / specialised65%1.30×8.50% $3.97M$4.13M$3.97M (LVR)
— $140k bridge positioning —
The $140,000 bridge facility under consideration represents 2.3% LVR against central indicative Market Value $6.1M; 3.3% of recommended base debt capacity $4.27M; 30.7% of approximate annual NOI $456,000 — full debt service coverage within approximately 4 months of operating cash flow. The bridge facility is not constrained by valuation. Binding constraints are: (a) lender policy for the asset class; (b) status of conditions precedent (AFSS rectification, insurance bind) at drawdown date.
— VI —

Risk · Stress Tests

— Stress I · LOI tenant walks (CP failure) —
Probability ~10%. Reversion to related-party tenancy basis; cap rate widens 100–150 bps. Indicative value $4.6–4.8M. Probability-weighted impact: −$130k. Mitigant: complete all CP cure items prior to tenant DD lawyer compiling report. Estimated cure cost ~$30–50k.
— Stress II · CPV adopts conservative posture (cap >8.0%) —
Probability ~20%. Bank-panel CPV with no specialised asset class file history. Cap 8.50% → $5.36M; cap 9.00% → $5.07M. Probability-weighted impact: −$150k. Mitigant: CPV selection per §VII criteria; pre-brief with full evidence pack including LOI structure, comparable evidence, planning context.
— Stress III · Macro rate environment +200 bps —
Probability ~15%. RBA tightens further; commercial real estate re-rates broadly. Base cap 7.5% → 9.5%; indicative value $4.8M. Probability-weighted impact: −$195k. Mitigant: lock fixed-rate refinance early to lever the LOI while cap rates support current basis.
— Upside · Cap rate compression post-LOI execution —
Probability ~25%. Income de-risks once arm's-length covenant is contracted; CPV may adopt 50 bps tighter at 7.00%. Probability-weighted upside: +$113k.
— Upside · Class 5 medical conversion crystallised Year 4 —
Probability ~15%. HBU realised; building-rate uplift to $10,000+ /sqm GBA. Probability-weighted upside: +$225k.
— Upside · Aggregation into specialised institutional portfolio —
Probability ~8%. Post-rollup institutional cap rate compresses toward ~6.0% net per published research. Probability-weighted upside: +$160k.
— Downside Sub-Total —
−$628k
probability-weighted across CP failure, CPV conservatism, macro re-rate, lender exclusion
— Net Risk Adjustment —
+$710k
materially upside-tilted · downside time-limited, upside carries 9-year tenure
— Upside Sub-Total —
+$1,338k
cap compression · HBU · institutional aggregation · CPI hedge · TOD uplift

Risk-adjusted indicative Market Value (probability-weighted): ~$6.8M (upside-tilted). The central $6.1M is the appropriate planning anchor for current-state Market Value; significant em